El Nino, Inflation and Markets

Equity Market Outlook

Inflation has been the talk of the town in 2022 and in 2023 it threatens to be the most dominant factor affecting the global equity market moods. With the widely expected El Nino to disrupt the monsoon season in India this year, Yogesh Supekar discusses the probable impact it may have on inflation and hence on the markets 

With BSE Sensex down by 2 per cent on YTD basis, one would say it is not that bad a start to the year given the headwinds equity markets are facing right now. The Indian markets are seen underperforming the US markets on YTD basis by a small margin. Could 2023 be a different year where the Indian equity markets gain their mojo back and start outperforming its global peers? If we look at the economic growth potential, there is no doubt about the macro triggers that gives India a distinct advantage. However, it is never a smooth ride in one direction be it the stock market or economic growth.