As the world watches Trump's inauguration, Indian stocks are ready for an optimistic start this week.

GIFT Nifty signals a subdued opening, with Nifty futures down 0.14 per cent, indicating a potentially flat to negative start for Indian benchmarks

Wall Street’s Decline, Asian Market Movements, Oil Price Surge, and Foreign Investor Activity—Here’s Everything You Need to Know

GIFT Nifty Signals Positive Opening as Global Sentiment Boosts Indian Indices

Global market volatility continues, but GIFT Nifty hints at gains for India. Check out the top stocks banned from trading and how rising oil prices could shape today’s market

Positive Cues from Wall Street and Asia, GIFT Nifty Points to Bullish Start for Indian Markets

The GIFT Nifty is trading higher, indicating a positive start for the day.

It was seen roaring like a lion post witnessing a parabolic rise from Rs 7.75 to the level of Rs 72. The stock has hit multiple upper circuits on the way up. It zoomed over 800 per cent in just a span of 47 trading sessions.

At 11.30 am on Wednesday, the core equity indices i.e., Sensex & Nifty 50 fell, owing to poor Q4 result updates from IT and auto companies, which led to higher selling from investors.  

At noon on Wednesday, the core equity indices i.e, Sensex and Nifty 50 were trading on the lower side, after opening in the green, as US 10-year bond yields hit the highest mark since 2019 and were trading at 2.406 per cent.

On the options' front, the 15,800 Put option has seen aggressive addition in the open interest (OI) as on Wednesday itself, over 53 lakh shares have been added in the open interest. 

On the options’ front, 15,800 Call has seen massive addition of open interest of over 75 lakh shares while 15,800 Put witnessed the unwinding of nearly 18 lakh shares. The 15,700 Call option also saw the addition of 27 lakh shares. Meanwhile, Max Pain stood at 15,800 level.

Majority of the sectoral indices were trading in green with Nifty Realty, Nifty Metal, and Nifty Bank being the top gainers. Nifty IT and Nifty Pharma have been laggards so far as they are trading with minuscule losses.   

Meanwhile, among the sectoral indices, BSE Consumer Durables has emerged as the top gainer; within this, Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals and Dixon Technologies were the top gainers.

Interestingly, penny stocks continued to witness interest in the stock market as nearly 186 stocks hit a fresh 52-week high. On the flip side, only 3 stocks hit a new 52-week low. Penny stocks such as Tree House, Sintex, GTL Infra, and many more touched their upper circuit limits today.  

Among the stock-specific action, Nelco was up by a staggering 17.8 per cent, marking a fresh all-time high. Other stocks such as InfoBeans Technologies, Archies, TRF, Uttam Sugar, Apollo Hospitals also marked a fresh 52-week high.   

The advance-decline for Nifty 50 is even-steven as 25 stocks were in the red while the other 25 in green. Overall, the market breadth is still in favour of advances, courtesy of the broader markets as they are seen outperforming the frontline gauges.   

Nifty Metal & Nifty PSU Bank surged over 2.5 per cent each while Nifty Bank was seen outperforming Nifty as it advanced over a per cent. 

Indian markets were seen trading near their day's high in the afternoon session, aided by the IT bellwethers - Infosys and TCS.

The level of 15,800 is going to be a strong barrier for the bulls to cross in the near term as 15,800 Call option has seen a massive addition in the open interest. Besides, nearly 44 lakh shares have been added in the open interest in 15,800 Call option strike.  

Footwear stocks seem to have put their best foot forward. Khadim India, Mirza International, Liberty Shoes, and Relaxo Footwears- all four of them are very much in the limelight today.  

What is more striking is that we have witnessed only 90 minutes of trading on Wednesday but the volume activity is spellbound. The stock has registered volumes of more than 8.5 lakh shares, which is the highest in the last 20 trading sessions.   

BL Kashyap & Sons announced that it has secured new orders from domestic unrelated clients, aggregating to Rs 369.17 crore. The announcement was made on Monday after the market hours. The total order inflow during FY2021-22 stands at Rs 504.17 crore.

On NSE, a total of 128 securities hit a fresh 52-week high while on the other hand, there was only one security that had hit a 52-week low. A total of 135 stocks have hit the upper band in the early trading session, while 31 stocks touched their lower band. GPT Infraprojects, MRO-TEK Realty, SREI Infrastructure Finance are some of the stocks which got locked at their respective upper circuits.   

The broader markets, which were seen underperforming in the last couple of sessions, found their mojo back and on Monday, they were seen outperforming frontline indices. As a result, market breadth improved and tilted in favour of advances.   

The broader markets relatively underperformed the frontline indices with Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 being down by 1.25 per cent and 1.35 per cent, respectively. Interestingly, India VIX has slipped back below the 15-mark.   

The key benchmark indices recouped the bulk of the losses and were seen trading with modest losses. Nifty has recovered nearly 100 points from the day’s low. Moreover, the advance-decline ratio is in the favour of advances and this is because the broader markets have relatively outperformed.   

Reliance Industries and HDFC twins have combinedly contributed more than 50 points. The sell-off is not just restricted to the large-cap, but it's broad-based; hence, Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap is also down by 0.92 per cent and 0.52 per cent, respectively. Market breadth is in the favour of the declines.   

Talking about the sectoral performance, barring Nifty Pharma & Nifty Energy, all other indices were seen trading in green with Nifty Realty, Nifty Media, and Nifty Bank being the top gainers.   

On the options front, Nifty 15,700 Put options have seen the addition of 15.57 lakh shares in the open interest. With this, the total open interest in the 15,700 Put option rises to 40.56 lakh shares. On the Call side, Nifty 15,800 Call option has seen maximum addition of open interest in today’s session.   

In the last half an hour, the 15,800 Put option has also seen massive open interest addition of 20.63 lakh shares. 

Among stock-specific action, RS Software (India) Ltd, Hisar Metal Industries, Compucom Software, and KM Sugar Mills got locked at the upper circuit.   

On the options front, Nifty 15,700 Put option has seen a massive addition in the open interest of over 18.4 lakh in today’s session and with this, the maximum concentration of open interest on the Put side stands at 15,700 strike.

Among sectoral indices, Nifty IT is trading with gains of 1.45 per cent. Interestingly, the top two contributors in Nifty 50 are from Nifty IT namely, Infosys and TCS that have combinedly contributed 33 points to Nifty’s kitty. 

Cues from the options data show that the level of 15,700 is a significant level to watch out for. The maximum open interest concentration on Call & Put side is seen at this strike. Interestingly, more than 25 lakh shares have been added in 15,700 Put option in today’s session itself.

RBI has said that going forward, the inflation trajectory is likely to be shaped by uncertainties impinging on the upside as well as the downside. The rising trajectory of international commodity prices, especially of crude, together with logistics costs, pose upside risks to the inflation outlook

Interestingly, the volatility index i.e. India VIX has plunged a whopping 9.5 per cent and it is seen trading below the 16 mark.  Barring Nifty Auto, all other indices were trading in the green, with Nifty Realty leading from the front.

The real show stopper of today’s session is the broader indices as Nifty Midcap 100 & Smallcap 100 have surged over a per cent.

The current upmove in the stock is supported by a jump in the volume by at least 1.74 times as per BSE records on an intraday basis on Wednesday. The company has recently announced in its board meeting that it aims to raise Rs 200 crore in tranches by issuing equities.    

With positive momentum in insurance companies, Max Financial Services was seen hitting fresh life-highs for itself. The stock made a fresh high at Rs 974.50 per share on an intraday basis, which also becomes its fresh life-high. The stock is up by 38 per cent on a YTD basis even as the stock has more than doubled in less than a year.  

HDFC AMC was a star performer in 2019; however, it hasn’t been doing well since the recent market rally that started one year back, relatively speaking.
 

Active portfolio management is all about beating the benchmark and to some extent, even the frontline indices.

Like last year, the market is again attempting to play the re-opening theme even as investors hustle to identify the stocks in the travel sector.

The improvement in the RoCE, led by a heavy reduction in debts, is the answer. Subex has reduced its debt over the years and substantially improved its financial performance.    
 

Locked in the upper circuit at Rs 75.75 per share, the stock is trading at a PE multiple of just 2.41 even as the stock at current prices offers a mouthwatering dividend yield of 10.23 per cent.  

Trading at a P/E multiple of 20, this low-price speciality chemical stock made a fresh 52-week high for itself on Tuesday. With highest quarterly PAT declared and revenue growth in excess of 38 per cent, aided by technical indicators, the stock can breach its resistance levels and make fresh 52-week highs in the coming weeks.  
 

Nifty has lost almost 80 points from the high of the day as India (MAY) Nikkei Markit Manufacturing PMI came in at an actual 50.8 vs 55.5 previous and estimates of 52.   

NOCIL has outperformed on bourses and is expected to outperform frontline indices, owing to its expansion plans along with ramp-up in capacity utilisation, robust volume growth on the back of a pick-up in demand of the tyre industry as well as expansion of margin with a focus on specialised rubber chemicals.  

How often do you see the stock of M&M slipping by more than 4 per cent especially when Sensex is up by 1 per cent, making fresh life-highs for itself? One might assume that there must be something seriously wrong with the stock to behave in such a manner!

Nippon Life India Asset Management (NAM) was amongst the top mid-cap gainers during Monday’s trading session. The stock gained by more than 6 per cent on a closing basis even as Sensex was up by only 1 per cent.   

On the options' front, massive open interest addition is seen at 15,400 Put option strike as today itself 15,400 Put option added over 30 lakh shares in the open interest. The 15,500 Put option has also seen more than 15 lakh shares in the open interest.

The stock is trading near the level that was seen in the latter part of March 2021. The stock has also witnessed an addition of 9.12 per cent in the open interest.

In the futures segment, the top gainers are Mindtree, PNB and Petronet. On the other hand, the top losers are Berger Paints, Manappuram Finance and Cummins India.   

On the options' front, the Put option base shifted from 15,000 to 15,200 Put option strike. As in today’s session, more than 28 lakh shares were added to the open interest in the 15,200 Put option. With this, the total concentration in 15,200 Put option surpassed 60 lakh shares in the open interest. 

A majority of the stocks in the media sector was trading in the green but only one stock has garnered a lot of interest and that is- Dish TV, which got locked at the upper circuit. With this, it registered a fresh five-month high. Furthermore, the stock has also recorded the highest volume since December 2019.   

On the options’ front, the 15,200 Put option strike has seen addition of nearly 19.16 lakh shares and the maximum open interest concentration on the put side stands at 15,000 strike. 

Motilal Oswal, Torrent Power, and Adani Transmission shine in the mid-cap space while Thangamayil Jewellery, IIFL securities and Butterfly Gandhimathi sizzled in the small-cap space.  

 Except for BSE Realty, BSE Capital Goods, BSE Consumer Durables and BSE Power, all other sectoral indices are in red.   

Nestle, with gains of 1.7 per cent, is the top-performing Sensex stock, followed by Sun Pharma, which is up by more than 1 per cent. Tech Mahindra and Reliance along with SBI are also trading up by more than 1 per cent each.  

Out of 30 Sensex stocks, almost six have slipped in red with M&M topping the chart of Sensex gainers' list, inching higher by nearly 6 per cent.  

Sensex is up by more than 750 points during the closing hour of today's session even as European markets opened on a mixed note.  

Only six out of 30 Sensex stocks are trading in green with Asian Paints maintaining its top gainer status on Friday.

Lead by Tata Motors, Motherson Sumi, and Amara Raja Batteries, the BSE Auto index is back in green!  

NTPC, GAIL, and Adani Transmission are seen contributing to BSE Utilities index with Nava Bharat Ventures topping the index, winning charts with nearly 12 per cent gains in today's session.  

Broad Put addition was seen in Nifty at 14,800-14,900. The 14,900 strike price saw the addition of 27.77 lakh shares  in open interest while 14,800 strike price witnessed the addition of 15.78 lakh shares.

The darling of value investors, ITC is seen buzzing on the bourses today. The stock is up by nearly 1.8 per cent and it is forming a bullish Marubozu candle, which has no or minimal wicks or shadows. Moreover, the stock has seen an open interest addition of 0.59 per cent in May Futures.   

On the options front’, addition of open interest on the Put option side is seen in a broad range of 14,600-14,700 in today’s session. The 14,600 Put option has seen the addition of more than 40 lakh shares in the open interest, while the 14,600 Call option has shed more than 11 lakh shares in the open interest. The 14,800 Call option strike has seen an addition of 31 lakh shares in the open interest.  

Nifty is moving in a downward channel and the leading indicator, RSI is in an upward channel. This divergence of price making a lower high and the RSI making a higher high is giving clear signs of suspicions. We have not seen this kind of negative divergence after March 2020.  

A long build-up was seen in Nifty PSU Banks with PNB climbing 7.7 per cent with an open interest addition of 13.90 per cent. Bank of Baroda also witnessed an addition of 7.60 per cent in the open interest with a price rise of 5.44 per cent. Canara Bank has seen the addition of 1.99 per cent while SBI saw an addition of 1.55 per cent in the open interest.  

On the options' front, the 14,500 Put option has seen a massive open interest addition in today’s session as it added a 20.74 lakh share in the open interest. With this, the total open interest concentration in 14,500 Put option has reached 39.26 lakh.

Among the sectoral indices, the majority of the indices were trading lower, led by Nifty Financial Services and Bank Nifty. On the other hand, Nifty Pharma and Nifty Energy were trading in green.  

India VIX is back in green thereby, indicating that volatility is rearing its ugly head. Going forward, the level of 14,880 can be an important level to watch out for on the index.  

In the derivative segment, Sun TV and Indiabulls Housing Finance are two probable stocks that can enter into a ban period.   

The daily RSI is forming an inverted head & shoulders pattern. Watch out for the level of 60 closely as a move above this level will lead to a resumption of an uptrend after a decent consolidation.  Bollinger Bands are still moving at a parallel distance. As Nifty is above the 20-DMA, be with a positive bias as long as it trades above it. The MACD histogram shows that the bearish momentum has declined significantly.  

There were two important takeaways from Tuesday’s session, which has laid the foundation for the weekly options expiry day. Read this to know more: 

Technically, Nifty has been witnessing the formation of a lower high & lower low on the daily chart and along with this, it has breached its important short-term moving average i.e., 20-DMA. Though on the weekly chart, we have seen the formation of a bullish candle as the close of the week was greater than the opening of the week.

Technically, the index might have logged gains of 115 points on Thursday. However, the day’s range was confined within 111 points while the gains were largely due to the gap-up opening. Since Thursday’s trading range was the lowest in the last seven trading sessions, it led to the formation of the NR7 pattern.

The weak dollar index has led to strong FII flows in the emerging markets, particularly in India. Indian equity markets have witnessed an inflow of over Rs 1,28,000 crore in the last few months with record inflow seen in the month of November 2020.

When we talk about the performance of markets in 2020, the first thing that strikes in mind is the word 'comeback' as markets have made a strong comeback after a severe crash. Wednesday was no different as markets did make a strong comeback and ended near the high point of the day. However, the milestone of 14,000 still seems so near yet to so far on Nifty. 

D-Street bulls seemed unstoppable on Tuesday as they continued to grind higher for the fifth successive day. However, the only regret was that despite having a super start to the day, they failed to touch the milestone of 14,000 levels. Nevertheless, it seems that today, they would finally touch the 14,000 mark as SGX Nifty indicates a wonderful start for the markets (up by 0.44 per cent). 

Tracking solid cues from their western counterparts, the Indian markets are expected to open with glory on Friday as in the overnight development, all the three major indices on Wall Street ended at record highs. SGX Nifty trades up by 16 points at 13,760 levels. 

On Wednesday, Indian markets displayed a strong performance as Nifty witnessed a breakout of the consolidation range while the key benchmark indices ended the day at record highs. However, on Thursday morning, SGX Nifty is indicating a soft opening as the global cues are not encouraging. SGX Nifty was trading down by 17 points at 13,668 levels.

Tuesday was all about the turnaround on D-Street as the key benchmark indices reversed their losses and eked out modest gains. In the current scenario, the bulls seem to have conditioned to buy a dip and there is no point in fighting the trend.

Even though the markets ended in green on Monday, volatility was the hallmark of the session as India VIX rose by 3.25 to 19.40. Further, multiple indecisive candle formations on the daily chart signalled that the dominant bulls are witnessing a slowdown in their pace of ascending.

In the last week, volatility was witnessed on the Indian shores, especially in the last trading session of the week as the market swung both ways before settling the day with modest gains. The extinct bears had attempted all tricks in the books to make a comeback but all efforts were in vain as the mighty bulls were backed by the strong liquidity gush by FIIs.

Friday is a new day and the bulls are expected to start with fresh energy. SGX Nifty is indicating a positive start as it was trading up by 10 points at 13,534 levels. However, we believe that consolidation could be the theme of the day with stock-specific movement, as markets in the recent past have run up too much, too fast; so, a healthy consolidation is likely to take place and it may continue its rally post a required consolidation. 

On Thursday, the bulls are likely to take a pause as the global cues are negative and SGX Nifty is indicating a fall of 58 points at the opening bell in Nifty. It would be interesting to see whether the market participants grab this initial dip as a buying opportunity like they have done in recent times and would the foreign portfolio investors also latch on to this opportunity and keep markets afloat or not. We do believe this dip will have takers as long as Nifty sustains above the 13,400 mark.

The unabated journey continued for the Indian markets on Tuesday as well with both the indices, Sensex & Nifty logging fresh record highs. However, it was a tough row to hoe for the bulls as extinct bears fought their heart to gain supremacy but all in vain as the recovery in the second half of the trading session once again provided an advantage to the bulls.

The bulls seemed to be blessed by the Almighty and believe that nothing can go wrong with them. The Indian markets were staring at a murky opening on Monday as the cues from the global markets were shabby and fragile.

SGX Nifty indicates that the markets may face some turbulence on Monday morning as it is trading down by 45 points at 13,281 levels. This is mainly due to negative cues prevailing in the Asian indices. The market participants would like to grab this opportunity and prefer to buy in dips as the major trend of the market remains completely in the favour of the bulls.

Going into the final trading session of the week, the advantage is again with the bulls despite the lackluster cues from the global peers. SGX Nifty is trading higher by 38 points and at 13,241 levels. The early advantage to the bulls is due to the statement made by the Finance Ministry.

Indian markets ended the final trading session of the November series on a buoyant note. November series turned out to be a really bumper one for the market participants as Nifty gained 11.31 per cent and Bank Nifty surged 22.68 per cent.

Indian markets witnessed a fierce sell-off on Wednesday. As a result, Nifty formed a bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart. Further, India VIX jumped nearly 10 per cent and closed above the 23 mark. A sharp fall with rising VIX is definitely not a pleasing sign for the bulls.

Just like, ‘you’ve put on some weight’ is a standard remark after Diwali as people consume a lot of sweets during this festive season, ‘markets hit a new high’ is becoming another such standard remark bolstered by record-buying by the FIIs as the latter have pumped in more than 55,000 crore in equities till now in the month of November.

The majority of the markets across the globe are seen riding higher on the optimism that the encouraging results by the clinical trial of the vaccine will soon put an end to damage caused by Coronavirus and the economy would find its mojo back.

The Indian markets continued their northward journey for the third straight week buoyed by inflows from FIIs as FIIs have bought shares worth of over 46,000 crore in November itself, which stands out to be highest monthly inflow in at least two decades.

Markets, as expected, are in consolidation mode. After a fall in Thursday's session markets are expected to open with minor gains on Friday. SGX Nifty is up by nearly 20 points indicating a positive start.