Swiggy IPO: Quick Commerce Dreams or Risky Investment Reality?

Mandar Wagh
/ Categories: Trending, IPO, IPO Analysis
Swiggy IPO: Quick Commerce Dreams or Risky Investment Reality?

In this analysis, we take a closer look at Swiggy Ltd and present you with the exclusive IPO details.

About the issue  

Swiggy Ltd is preparing to launch its Initial Public Offering (IPO) for equity shares. Below are the issue details. 

IPO Details
IPO Opening Date  November 06, 2024
IPO Closing Date  November 08, 2024
Issue Type  Book Built Issue IPO
Face Value Re 1 per equity share
IPO Price  Rs 371 to Rs 390 per equity share
Min Order Quantity  38 shares
Listing At  BSE, NSE
Total Issue 290,446,837 shares of FV Re 1*
(Aggregating up to Rs 11,327.43 Cr)*
Fresh Issue 115,358,974 shares of FV Re 1*
(Aggregating up to Rs 4,499.00 Cr)*
Offer for Sale 175,087,863 shares of FV Re 1*
(Aggregating up to Rs 6,828.43 Cr)*
QIB Shares Offered  75% of the Offer
Retail Shares Offered  10% of the Offer
NII (HNI) Shares Offered 15% of the Offer
*At Upper Price Band  

Objects of the Issue  

The offer encompasses both the fresh issue and the offer for sale. It's important to note that the company will not accrue any proceeds from the offer for sale. The company plans to allocate the net proceeds raised from the fresh issue for the following purposes:

1. Investment in the material subsidiary, Scootsy, for repayment or pre-payment, in full or in part, of certain or all of its borrowings.

2. Investment in the material subsidiary, Scootsy, for (a) expansion of Dark Store network for Quick Commerce segment through setting up of Dark Stores; and (b) making lease/license payments for Dark Stores.

3. Investment in technology and cloud infrastructure.

4. Brand marketing and business promotion expenses for enhancing the brand awareness and visibility of its platform across segments.

5. Funding inorganic growth through unidentified acquisitions and general corporate purposes.

Promoter holding  

The company states that it is professionally managed and does not have any identifiable promoter.

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Company profile  

Swiggy is a new-age, consumer-centric technology company providing a seamless convenience platform through a unified app, allowing users to browse, select, order, and pay for a range of items including food (Food Delivery), groceries, and household essentials (Instamart), with doorstep delivery facilitated by an on-demand partner network.

As of June 30, 2024, Instamart managed an extensive network of 557 active dark stores across 32 cities in India, which expanded to 605 active dark stores across 43 cities by September 10, 2024.

Swiggy's platform also enables users to make restaurant reservations (Dineout), book events (SteppinOut), access product pick-up and drop-off services (Genie), and engage in various hyperlocal activities (Swiggy Minis).

To enhance user value, the company offers a membership program, ‘Swiggy One,’ with discounts and exclusive offers, along with in-app payment options such as the digital wallet ‘Swiggy Money,’ ‘Swiggy UPI,’ and the Swiggy-HDFC Bank credit card for added benefits.

Financials 

 Rs (in crore)   FY22    FY23    FY24    Q1FY25 
 Revenue        6,120       8,714     11,634       3,310
 Profit before tax      -3,629     -4,179     -2,350         -611
 Net profit      -3,629     -4,179     -2,350         -611

The company has consistently delivered strong growth in revenue over the past few years. Between FY22 and FY24, the company recorded a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 38 per cent in revenue. When annualized, the figures from the June quarter show decent topline growth of around 14 per cent compared to FY24.

However, the company's consistent loss-making status over several periods dampens investor optimism about profitability. Despite the strong revenue growth, profitability remains challenged, mainly due to high finance costs and depreciation expenses. Additionally, elevated spending on advertising and delivery contributes significantly to the company's ongoing expenses.

Valuation & Outlook

Company Name P/E P/B RoE (%)*
Swiggy Ltd - 12 -
Listed Peers
Zomato Ltd 287 10 2

*RoE: Based on FY24 data

The issue is priced with a P/BV ratio of 11.60 times, calculated using its Net Asset Value (NAV) of Rs 33.61 as of June 30, 2024. At the upper price cap, it is priced at a P/BV ratio of 7.31 times, considering its post-IPO NAV.

Considering the company's annualized earnings for FY25 or FY24 along with its fully diluted equity capital, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains negative, reflecting its current loss-making position.

Following its IPO, experts anticipate that the company will aim to achieve profitability in the near term, likely within a few more quarters. This would be driven by reducing interest burden, cutting promotional spending and capitalizing on the ongoing growth of the online food delivery market.

While the company may offer promising long-term growth prospects, current weak market conditions and uncertainties around profitability create concerns. Given these factors, we advise investors to avoid this aggressively priced investment, which is currently yielding negative returns.

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